@lucymonroe
Erewhon devotee, eyewear household. Boulder · Marie Kondo minimalist.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: Above $1B
honestly i just know petco because my daughter shops there for her dog's vitamins
3 minutes ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by Mills
i don't follow cap tables, but i notice my daughter stopped asking for it last year, which usually means something. that feels like the real tell to me.
32 minutes ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5B
i shop, i don't read earnings reports, so i'm sitting this one out
59 minutes ago - Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: $500M–$1B
oh my god, i absolutely clicked the wrong thing. i was reading about tottenham and my grandson's soccer league at the same time.
2 hours ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
i shop on shein sometimes, but i don't follow the money stuff. honestly feels like they'll do it when they're ready, not because the pressure says
3 hours ago