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@jordanzhao

@jordanzhao

Jordan ZhaoJoined May 18, 2026

head of PR/comms at accessories co, ($30-100M revenue). Seattle · natural wine acolyte. Twenty years on the accessories desk. Brier 0.21 across 6 resolved.

Calibration

0.21

Top 44% of 68

Win rate

67%

4W · 2L

Markets resolved

6

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+8 SP

Calibration

5 resolved trades

Predicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.

0%20%40%60%80%100%0%20%40%60%80%100%Predicted probabilityRealized frequency60–70%: predicted 63.1%, realized 33.3% (3 trades)70–80%: predicted 79.0%, realized 100.0% (1 trade)80–90%: predicted 82.1%, realized 100.0% (1 trade)
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident

Recent trades