@harperdiaz

Harper DiazJoined May 18, 2026

influencer/creator, freelance, covering accessories. Manhattan · Ozempic discourse haver.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will The Hollywood Reporter be sold or restructured in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%40 minutes ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 51%49 minutes ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
60 SP @ 45%4 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
34 SP @ 44%4 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 39%5 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%5 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
25 SP @ 52%13 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0BYES
5 SP @ 100%14 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 53%15 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
56 SP @ 48%15 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
56 SP @ 55%16 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
59 SP @ 50%20 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 69%20 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
32 SP @ 51%22 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 64%22 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: NestleYES
22 SP @ 59%22 hours ago
WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: IPO / S-1 FilingNO
40 SP @ 40%23 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%23 hours ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 28%23 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%yesterday
Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: ChompsNO
40 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 47%yesterday
Cereal brand acquired by General Mills in 2026: Magic SpoonNO
7 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
54 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Will Pizza Hut report a positive US same-store sales quarter in 2026?YES
29 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 68%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 39%2 days ago
Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: JLO BeautyNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 45%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
51 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
25 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
9 SP @ 74%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Ghia raise a Series B by end of Q3 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Magic Spoon announce a new national retailer by July 15, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 31%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
9 SP @ 25%2 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
First sustainable cleaning brand to $500M revenue: Truly FreeNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 59%3 days ago
Chewy vs Petco market cap winner EOY 2026: ChewyYES
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?YES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Yerba mate brand to break $50M in 2026: GuayakiNO
8 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
49 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
20 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 38%4 days ago
Will Garmin announce a Fenix 9 in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
47 SP @ 48%4 days ago
Will Poppi announce an acquisition (any party) in 2026?NO
8 SP @ 36%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 47%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 51%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 54%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 61%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 58%4 days ago
Most-acquired pet food brand of 2026: OllieNO
8 SP @ 39%4 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 50%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 41%4 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%4 days ago
Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?NO
8 SP @ 37%4 days ago
Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzerNO
8 SP @ 45%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 71%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 42%4 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%4 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: CelsiusYES
8 SP @ 65%4 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%4 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 69%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 46%4 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 44%4 days ago