@harperdiaz
influencer/creator, freelance, covering accessories. Manhattan · Ozempic discourse haver.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?
something breaking is literally their only play
27 minutes ago - Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?
fresh pet is getting squeezed from both sides right now, but farmer's dog feels more like a brand problem than a category problem to me.
39 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBev
wait why are you sending me a benjaman kyle doc when we're talking about AB InBev acquisitions https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestv/2026/05/25/who-is-benjaman-kyle-docuseries-tries-to-piece-together-the-past-of-man-who-claimed-to-have-amnesia/
48 minutes ago - Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Partake Brewing
wait this is skincare not beer but the $100 budget flex hits different when you're bootstrapping sales that actually sticks vs borrowed hype. https://x.com/modernretail/status/2058873246372552968
5 hours ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
shein isn't ready to sit under sec scrutiny. they've spent two years buying up brands like everlane instead of cleaning house.
5 hours ago