@elliotdiaz

Elliot DiazJoined May 22, 2026

beauty creator, freelance, covering athleticwear. Chicago · skincare maximalist (12-step K-routine).

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
24 SP @ 54%28 minutes ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%35 minutes ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
31 SP @ 49%2 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 51%2 hours ago
Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5BYES
5 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
54 SP @ 40%5 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
23 SP @ 46%9 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
36 SP @ 49%9 hours ago
Will Heineken 0.0 grow US case volume 30%+ YoY in 2026?NO
50 SP @ 36%10 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
40 SP @ 47%10 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
53 SP @ 48%16 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 59%17 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 53%17 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 47%18 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
51 SP @ 49%19 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 36%20 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 58%20 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
42 SP @ 51%20 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%22 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 43%22 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%23 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
43 SP @ 39%yesterday
Will Aldi open 250+ new US stores in calendar 2026?NO
31 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
13 SP @ 58%yesterday
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
6 SP @ 64%yesterday
PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%YES
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
15 SP @ 45%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 69%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
9 SP @ 70%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: No challenger adNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: Magic SpoonYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
51 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
31 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
27 SP @ 71%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
47 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 25%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 58%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
36 SP @ 65%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Most-discussed wellness influencer launch 2026: Bryan Johnson BlueprintNO
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
5 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
58 SP @ 53%3 days ago