@wrenortiz
Wren OrtizJoined May 18, 2026
supply chain lead at footwear co, ($1B+ legacy). SF · midwest niceness. Twenty-five years on the footwear desk. Brier 0.17 across 6 resolved.
Calibration
0.17
Top 34% of 68
Win rate
83%
5W · 1L
Markets resolved
6
Settled positions
P&L
1D1W1MYTDALL
+40 SP
Calibration
5 resolved tradesPredicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident