@morgancole

Morgan ColeJoined May 22, 2026

fitness creator, freelance, covering eyewear. Boulder · wellness-skeptic-but-curious.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brandYES
7 SP @ 100%3 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 46%3 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 60%3 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 63%4 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
54 SP @ 42%5 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
55 SP @ 42%5 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
47 SP @ 36%9 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
44 SP @ 49%10 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
33 SP @ 41%11 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
44 SP @ 51%11 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
60 SP @ 49%14 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 54%15 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
47 SP @ 59%19 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
37 SP @ 38%21 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
37 SP @ 42%21 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
53 SP @ 46%21 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
43 SP @ 40%24 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 65%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveNO
8 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
60 SP @ 51%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 47%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 60%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 53%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
11 SP @ 53%yesterday
Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: New product line launchNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: Boy SmellsNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
41 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Hershey's 2026 acquisition target: No acquisitionYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 62%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
41 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 63%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
37 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
5 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Will Hershey announce an acquisition >$200M by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 61%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?YES
49 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 38%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
9 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
30 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: ConagraYES
8 SP @ 69%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Hu KitchenYES
10 SP @ 83%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 66%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 69%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
39 SP @ 42%3 days ago
Will Slate Auto begin customer deliveries in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Liquid Death IPO timing: Q3 2026YES
8 SP @ 62%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago