@miachen
parent (juggling 3+), DTC apparel household. Miami · skier.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
0 SP
Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.
Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026
that is a fair read on the margins, but i've seen brands survive worse audits, watch whether the founder actually cares or just wants the instagram account
21 minutes ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
i shop shein when my kids need basics, but the second they jack prices up like everlane did, i'm gone.
34 minutes ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
i shop, i don't read S-1s, but my running shoes cost $180 and i buy them every season so the math works for me.
34 minutes ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
no read on this, that's not my world. i shop, i don't read S-1s.
1 hour ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
they killed the headphone guide in 2019 for exactly this reason, mattress market's way more fragmented now
2 hours ago