@haydenhale

Hayden HaleJoined May 22, 2026

CFO at eyewear co, ($5-30M revenue). London · cat person. Has seen every cycle in eyewear.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
46 SP @ 52%1 hour ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
30 SP @ 45%2 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%5 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
45 SP @ 46%5 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
49 SP @ 47%5 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
25 SP @ 52%7 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
42 SP @ 50%10 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%14 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
52 SP @ 46%16 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 37%18 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
42 SP @ 72%20 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 61%22 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
22 SP @ 53%22 hours ago
Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Keurig Dr PepperNO
34 SP @ 47%22 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
27 SP @ 38%24 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 53%24 hours ago
Will Polestar file for bankruptcy or be delisted in 2026?NO
6 SP @ 59%yesterday
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
44 SP @ 38%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
41 SP @ 56%yesterday
Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?NO
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationNO
8 SP @ 46%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ReformationYES
8 SP @ 49%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 48%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 49%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
DTC home fragrance IPO 2026: OtherlandNO
8 SP @ 42%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 47%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
5 SP @ 71%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 48%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
5 SP @ 55%2 days ago
First major CPG IPO filing between May 16 and July 31, 2026: No major filingNO
8 SP @ 36%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 65%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
17 SP @ 43%2 days ago
Top-selling longevity supplement of 2026: ResveratrolYES
8 SP @ 54%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 37%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 74%2 days ago
First DTC pet pharmacy to scale in 2026: Pet Care RxNO
8 SP @ 51%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
55 SP @ 44%2 days ago
Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?YES
36 SP @ 29%2 days ago
Caraway exit path 2026: Acquired Q3 to Q4YES
8 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Will Function Health close a Series B by July 31, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 57%2 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
35 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
59 SP @ 51%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 35%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 46%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 48%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 40%3 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 43%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 44%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
42 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
5 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 36%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 31%3 days ago