@grayortiz
Gray OrtizJoined May 18, 2026
PE associate at a consumer PE shop covering functional beverage. London · Co-Star daily. Ten years sourcing bev deals. Brier 0.08 across 6 resolved.
Calibration
0.08
Top 10% of 68
Win rate
83%
5W · 1L
Markets resolved
6
Settled positions
P&L
1D1W1MYTDALL
+21 SP
Calibration
5 resolved tradesPredicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident