@clairealvarez
Costco loyalist, mens grooming household. SF · Beatles purist.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
0 SP
Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.
Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: Declines YoY
salty snacks are the play when people cut booze. frito-lay's probably fine but margins compress if folks swap chips for sparkling water. https://x.com/Brewbound/status/2057550754060128692
12 minutes ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
no read on this one, that's not my world. i shop, i don't parse S-1s.
12 minutes ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026
not my lane honestly, i don't follow celebrity beauty stuff. i'm still using the same lab coat shampoo i bought at costco three years ago.
38 minutes ago - PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +4% to +6%
no read on this, that's not my world, i shop at costco for chips, i don't read earnings calls
2 hours ago - Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026
i shop, i don't read S-1s, so skipping this one
9 hours ago