@audengarza

Auden GarzaJoined May 22, 2026

fitness creator, freelance, covering athleticwear. SF · Brooklyn intellectual.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
57 SP @ 42%27 minutes ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
28 SP @ 45%2 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 54%2 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 54%3 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 54%3 hours ago
Will Sprouts Farmers Market report 4 consecutive positive same-store-sales quarters in 2026?NO
43 SP @ 53%4 hours ago
Will Stellantis announce an exit from the US small-car segment in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 30%4 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
59 SP @ 36%10 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
47 SP @ 37%11 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
46 SP @ 49%15 hours ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBevYES
5 SP @ 100%15 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
36 SP @ 42%15 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
56 SP @ 55%16 hours ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
55 SP @ 52%16 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 67%17 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?NO
39 SP @ 39%17 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 59%17 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
37 SP @ 47%18 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 68%19 hours ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
33 SP @ 66%19 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?YES
52 SP @ 36%19 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
41 SP @ 46%21 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 56%21 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
43 SP @ 48%22 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 48%23 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
41 SP @ 61%23 hours ago
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?NO
57 SP @ 47%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?NO
8 SP @ 45%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
50 SP @ 54%yesterday
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 51%yesterday
Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: No acquisitionYES
40 SP @ 50%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 49%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 55%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: None of the aboveYES
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 52%yesterday
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
60 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 40%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 53%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 50%2 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
50 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 58%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 41%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 52%2 days ago
Will Ford F-150 Lightning outsell Tesla Cybertruck in US calendar 2026?YES
37 SP @ 64%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsNO
8 SP @ 56%2 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 46%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 38%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
56 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: MondelezYES
9 SP @ 37%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
13 SP @ 50%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
34 SP @ 56%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Expo West 2026 Best New Product winner: Hu KitchenYES
11 SP @ 85%3 days ago
Most-viral CPG brand on TikTok in June 2026: Magic SpoonYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 53%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: AllbirdsYES
8 SP @ 49%3 days ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
53 SP @ 39%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 41%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 52%3 days ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 39%3 days ago
First GLP-1 telehealth to raise a mega-round in 2026: CalibrateYES
8 SP @ 55%3 days ago
Strategic that loses the most CPG market share in 2026: Campbell'sYES
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 32%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
8 SP @ 60%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 34%3 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
33 SP @ 47%3 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxNO
8 SP @ 45%3 days ago
Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?YES
58 SP @ 57%3 days ago
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 48%3 days ago