@violetyoung
household shopper, home/decor household. Miami · fragrance head.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brand
why does anyone care what wirecutter says anymore when half my feed is just unboxing videos from people who actually sleep on the thing
23 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirer
why would that make the deal *bigger* though, just more predictable? feels like the opposite of how acquisitions work.
43 minutes ago - Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
why would they skip whole foods when every other clean brand is already there, plus the smaller format stores are literally built for DTC brands like this.
2 hours ago - First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: WeightWatchers (WW)
why does everyone act like existing members actually want to switch to GLP-1 though, that's the whole thing nobody's talking
2 hours ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
why would wirecutter even keep a top pick when every mattress brand is basically the same now, feels like they're gonna bail on the whole thing.
4 hours ago