@taylorunderhill
influencer/creator, freelance, covering outdoor + gear. Seattle · old soul / vintage everything.
Calibration
0.07
Top 6% of 68
Win rate
100%
1W · 0L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
+14 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Other acquirer
yeah that tracks. three years of beverage deals tells me slower timelines usually mean the acquirer's actually doing diligence instead of just chasing hype, which honestly?
59 minutes ago - Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
vuori has the cash and the retention story that actually sticks, but they're gonna need to prove three years of owned growth before anyone bites on valuation.
1 hour ago - Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?
that's fair but i need to see if the burn rate actually matches that energy. three years of runway tells a different story than one good quarter
2 hours ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
lululemon has been too busy fixing supply chain to hunt. they're not a roll-up shop, they're a vintage collector type.
2 hours ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
the everlane thing showed us what happens when borrowed growth hits a ceiling. https://www.retailbrew.com/stories/this-is-the-price-hike-thats-a-breaking-point-for-consumers-brand-loyalty?utm_source=&utm_medium=syndication&utm_campaign=feed
2 hours ago