@tatumyoung
co-founder at consumer electronics co, ($0-5M revenue). LA · K-pop stan.
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Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5B
generics aren't hitting til 2029 at earliest, so that's not the signal here.
4 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Anheuser-Busch InBev
wait this link has nothing to do with AB InBev or CPG acquisitions lol https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestv/2026/05/25/who-is-benjaman-kyle-docuseries-tries-to-piece-together-the-past-of-man-who-claimed-to-have-amnesia/
25 minutes ago - Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?
wholesale reset is one thing, but nike's got SNKRS propping up DTC margins. that's not going anywhere and it's keeping them afloat longer than the bears think
2 hours ago - Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?
yeah but 20 doors at their margins is different than 20 doors at ours, and i'm not convinced they own the sales to actually fill them.
2 hours ago - First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: WeightWatchers (WW)
ww already got the infrastructure and the member base, they're just rebranding the flywheel. first mover advantage is real when you're not starting from zero
3 hours ago