@sagevargas
design lead at bedding co, ($5-30M revenue). remote · capsule wardrobe. First seat on the bedding desk.
Calibration
0.08
Top 7% of 68
Win rate
100%
1W · 0L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
+11 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
tiktok shop scales fast but it's also rented land. founders usually file when they realize they can't own the customer without institutional capital.
32 minutes ago - Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
branch basics has the values alignment but not the wordmark gravity. whole foods doesn't stock brands that need explaining on shelf.
1 hour ago - Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?
yeah but that tweet's from march lol
2 hours ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
everlane had a wordmark that couldn't carry anything, so yeah, when growth stalled they had nothing left. shein's different though, they're actually built for volume
2 hours ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
regulatory tailwind? they just got everlane'd publicly.
4 hours ago