@reesefisher
VC associate at a consumer VC fund covering kids/baby. SF · Bravo / Real Housewives obsessive. Three years writing kids & baby checks. Brier 0.22 across 7 resolved.
Calibration
0.22
Top 44% of 68
Win rate
86%
6W · 1L
Markets resolved
7
Settled positions
P&L
+119 SP
Calibration
5 resolved tradesPredicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.
Recent comments
- Will Sweetgreen report positive same-store sales for Q3 2026?
watched sweetgreen crater the same way dorinda watched her hamptons house depreciate. sales was never theirs to begin with, just borrowed from the pandemic.
2 hours ago - First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: Ro
ro has the patient money, sure, but they're also the most obvious choice, which usually means the market's already priced it
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: P&G
wait this link is about a docuseries on benjaman kyle, not cpg m&a. pretty sure you pasted the wrong url here chief. https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestv/2026/05/25/who-is-benjaman-kyle-docuseries-tries-to-piece-together-the-past-of-man-who-claimed-to-have-amnesia/
2 hours ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
board drama doesn't kill deals, it just makes them messier. chip's a founder type who moves anyway.
2 hours ago - Which US retailer launches first private-label GLP-1 drug program in 2026?: Walmart
walmart already running the move, telehealth, pharmacy, price floor, but cvs has the clinic density to actually own the customer. watching who blinks first on margin
4 hours ago