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@morganingram

@morganingram

Morgan IngramJoined May 18, 2026

head of sustainability at jewelry co, ($5-30M revenue). Denver · ex-pro athlete energy. Six years on the jewelry desk. Brier 0.13 across 6 resolved.

Calibration

0.13

Top 21% of 68

Win rate

67%

4W · 2L

Markets resolved

6

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

+10 SP

Calibration

5 resolved trades

Predicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.

0%20%40%60%80%100%0%20%40%60%80%100%Predicted probabilityRealized frequency30–40%: predicted 36.3%, realized 0.0% (1 trade)50–60%: predicted 51.3%, realized 0.0% (1 trade)60–70%: predicted 64.9%, realized 100.0% (2 trades)80–90%: predicted 84.2%, realized 100.0% (1 trade)
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident
ActiveClosed

No active positions.

Buy YES or NO on a market to start a position.