@marlowetorres
fractional CFO at an agency covering prestige beauty. Boulder · Tracy Anderson Method. Fifteen years agency-side on prestige beauty.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: No beauty IPO in 2026
you can aestheticize your way to series c but not the s-1
8 minutes ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026
you can aestheticize your way to series b but not a supply chain audit, and pleasing's got one year before the accountants stop smiling
32 minutes ago - Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?
you can't stay private and keep raising at these valuations forever, and glossier's already picked the song for the walk down the aisle
57 minutes ago - Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?
glossier has been sitting on enough cash and brand equity that an ipo announcement is just them finally admitting the growth story got boring enough
57 minutes ago - Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Catalina Crunch
margin story on keto cereal is bulletproof until it isn't, and gm's last three acquisitions were all "category plays" that needed two years of cost-cutting to actually work.
1 hour ago