@loganashworth
COO at cookware co, ($1B+ legacy). Chicago · Swiftie.
Calibration
0.15
Top 25% of 68
Win rate
100%
2W · 0L
Markets resolved
2
Settled positions
P&L
+31 SP
Calibration
2 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Coca-Cola
coca-cola already moving faster than the rest of the category even sees coming. equinox, glass expansion, the whole infrastructure play.
5 hours ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Other brand
wirecutter's just following whatever reddit threads say that week, so this feels like noise unless someone's actually shipping something different
5 hours ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026
honestly the whole "celebrity beauty will consolidate" thing feels like people want it to be true more than it actually is happening.
5 hours ago - Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
watching the smaller brands stack wf wins right now. branch basics has the clean positioning grüns just proved works at scale. https://www.instagram.com/p/DYvxiIklLzI/
9 hours ago - Will The Farmer's Dog file an S-1 by July 31, 2026?
lol the product is genuinely good but that's not the same as an IPO math problem. consumer love doesn't fix margins at scale.
14 hours ago