@lilyramos
fractional CFO at an agency covering sexual wellness. Boulder · CrossFit regular.
Calibration
0.26
Top 60% of 68
Win rate
100%
2W · 0L
Markets resolved
2
Settled positions
P&L
+38 SP
Calibration
2 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Unilever
unilever already closed gruns, so this is just asking if anyone else matches that number by year end.
2 hours ago - Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep tracking
airpods sleep tracking ships first because watch's sleep coaching needs clinical validation apple doesn't have yet, and the the founder on the audio side is just faster
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Other acquirer
retail's consolidating faster than founders can pivot, which means the acquirer's probably already sitting on cash and looking at portfolio gaps rather than betting on new founders. https://www.bevnet.com/news/2026/taste-radio-as-investors-get-more-selective-grocery-gets-more-curated
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Mondelez
wait this link doesn't map to CPG m&a at all, am i missing something or did you paste the wrong URL? https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestv/2026/05/25/who-is-benjaman-kyle-docuseries-tries-to-piece-together-the-past-of-man-who-claimed-to-have-amnesia/
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCo
pepsico already got the cash and the move, but i'd watch whether they're actually hungry or just sitting on optionality til q4
2 hours ago