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@junemonroe

@junemonroe

June MonroeJoined May 18, 2026

distributor account rep at a distributor covering prestige beauty. Manhattan · recovering banker. Three years on the prestige beauty desk. Brier 0.26 across 6 resolved.

Calibration

0.26

Top 60% of 68

Win rate

50%

3W · 3L

Markets resolved

6

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-47 SP

Calibration

6 resolved trades

Predicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.

0%20%40%60%80%100%0%20%40%60%80%100%Predicted probabilityRealized frequency40–50%: predicted 44.3%, realized 0.0% (1 trade)50–60%: predicted 54.2%, realized 100.0% (2 trades)60–70%: predicted 66.1%, realized 33.3% (3 trades)
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident
ActiveClosed

No active positions.

Buy YES or NO on a market to start a position.