@jordannash
food scientist at household co, ($30-100M revenue). Chicago · doc-only viewer. Six years on the household desk.
Calibration
0.33
Top 78% of 68
Win rate
0%
0W · 1L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
-8 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Olipop launch a new core-line flavor before July 1, 2026?
six months is tight if they're still in sensory or stability testing. i'd need to see the SKU locked before i'm comfortable
21 minutes ago - Will PepsiCo extend its distribution agreement with Celsius beyond its current term?
yeah but celsius growth is flatlining and pepsico's got monster already, why extend if the margin story breaks in 18 months.
32 minutes ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
wirecutter's mattress guide is a content graveyard, they'll kill it before they commit to one brand by year-end.
32 minutes ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $3.5B – $4.0B
fair point but mounjaro's shipping faster than any weight loss drug we've seen. if lilly clears 4B by q2, that's the real signal.
1 hour ago - PepsiCo Q2 2026 Frito-Lay North America organic revenue growth: +2% to +4%
tariff math is brutal but utz is regional noise. watch if they hold pricing or fold on volume.
1 hour ago