@irisokafor
parent (juggling 2), mens grooming household. Manhattan · D&D / Critical Role player.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
0 SP
Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.
Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: None shut down by Dec 31 2026
the accountants angle tracks, but pleasing's still moving product at sephora last i checked, so "one year" feels like a prediction without the roll.
21 minutes ago - Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?
glossier has been quiet too long for a brand that size, and founders don't sit on $2bn valuations forever.
39 minutes ago - Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Other beauty brand
i shop, i don't read S-1s, skipping this one lol
39 minutes ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
fair point on the supply chain thing, but they've also got cash sitting around. vintage collector types still need to restock sometimes
2 hours ago - Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Keurig Dr Pepper
keurig's track record is moving product through convenience stores, not selling it to parents who actually read labels, so yeah the fit feels off to me
4 hours ago