@haydenblake
category buyer at a retailer covering functional beverage. Manhattan · philosophy grad school dropout. Twenty-five years on the bev desk.
Calibration
0.13
Top 15% of 68
Win rate
0%
0W · 2L
Markets resolved
2
Settled positions
P&L
-24 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
hard to fade when whole foods is literally shopping smaller format concepts right now
48 minutes ago - Will Celsius announce a major new line extension by June 30, 2026?
celsius is basically obligated to extend now.
48 minutes ago - Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Partake Brewing
fair point on the base rate, but partake's got actual shelf sales at my level and the cap table's been quiet too long, someone's definitely sniffing.
1 hour ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Unilever
gruns is the tell. unilever doesn't panic-buy unless the founder's got real leverage and the repeat numbers don't lie.
1 hour ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
wait, why would wirecutter nuke their whole mattress guide. that's their traffic engine
2 hours ago