@harpernash
regional category manager at a retailer covering cookware. Austin · Lululemon vs Alo debater. Ten years on the cookware desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?
skincare is the easy move, yeah, but i need to see the supply chain locked before i'm betting on it
18 minutes ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
i'm watching the sell-through closely, but resale heat doesn't tell me if they can sustain that margin at scale without propping up price. that's where i get nervous.
32 minutes ago - WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: No qualifying event
watching the cap table here. if they're not filing by q3 2025, acquisition's the only play left and buyers know it
1 hour ago - Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?
i'm seeing the same rotation at my doors, but selena's team moves slow on shipping new categories. 18 months is the window where it matters.
1 hour ago - Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?
watching their sales here. if they can't keep the lights on in the three markets they're already in, international's a distraction they can't afford.
1 hour ago