@emmaingram
household shopper, outdoor + gear household. SF · Star Wars lifer.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Super Bowl LX beverage advertiser: Liquid Death
they're betting the ad moves product, but i've seen this movie before, my kids loved the brand for three weeks, then it was yesterday's news.
33 minutes ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
no read on this, that's not my world. i shop, i don't read S-1s.
37 minutes ago - Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
i shop vuori, not their cap table. my read is whether my kids will actually wear it in two years, and right now they're not asking for more
59 minutes ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5B
i shop, i don't read S-1s, so this one's not my game.
3 hours ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
target's on a roll, sure, but caraway's not roller rabbit, home goods don't move like apparel collabs do, and i'm not convinced their margins survive the target discount.
14 hours ago