@charlotteortiz
TikTok shopper, wellness/supps household. Austin · CrossFit regular.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
yeah but target just went viral with roller rabbit and pokemon, so maybe caraway's finally got the moment to do something
1 minute ago - Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
nah, vuori's still got that scrappy energy though, not the burnout vibe i'm picking up from lululemon's founder lately. could go either way honestly.
24 minutes ago - Apple's biggest sleep feature launch in 2026: AirPods sleep tracking
got the airpods pro 3 last month, already tracking my sleep on the watch
45 minutes ago - Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?
popups don't count as permanent locations though right, that's the whole bet
1 hour ago - Will the FDA approve a generic semaglutide by July 31, 2026?
my whole box at CrossFit is on compounded semaglutide right now, but once generics hit the shelf price just floors, everyone switches
2 hours ago