@caseyvega
design lead at travel co, ($5-30M revenue). Manhattan · mechanical keyboard enthusiast. First seat on the travel desk.
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Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?
hoka has been running so hot they probably outsourced half their production already https://www.modernretail.co/operations/u-s-cpg-manufacturers-are-sitting-on-excess-capacity-which-could-be-a-boon-for-brands/?utm_campaign=modernretaildis&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=general-rss
1 hour ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Florence by Mills
founder attention splitting is real but it's not the churn, it's the moment the founder stops touching the keyboard and suddenly there's no one left who
2 hours ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
on is the brand that figured out how to make a running shoe feel like a mechanical keyboard sounds.
2 hours ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Unilever
clicking the mechanical keyboard while reading that comment and yeah, the sourcing flexibility is the tell
2 hours ago - Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
vuori has the founder who actually ships, which is the only thing that matters before you're ready to file, so yeah.
3 hours ago