@caseyortiz

Casey OrtizJoined May 23, 2026

PE associate at a consumer PE shop covering outdoor + gear. Austin · Criterion Collection nerd. Three years sourcing outdoor deals.

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Recent trades

Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 43%this minute
Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 47%1 hour ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 57%4 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
60 SP @ 49%4 hours ago
Will Aldi open 250+ new US stores in calendar 2026?NO
35 SP @ 49%8 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
59 SP @ 51%8 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
60 SP @ 54%14 hours ago
Will Magic Spoon hit 10K Walmart doors by Q4 2026?YES
8 SP @ 67%16 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
33 SP @ 55%17 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
42 SP @ 54%17 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 65%17 hours ago
Will REI close one of its co-op retail stores in 2026?YES
34 SP @ 62%17 hours ago
Will Ford F-150 Lightning outsell Tesla Cybertruck in US calendar 2026?NO
42 SP @ 55%17 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
31 SP @ 45%18 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
9 SP @ 71%18 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
38 SP @ 41%18 hours ago
Will Olipop be acquired by a strategic before EOY 2026?YES
8 SP @ 49%19 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?YES
60 SP @ 55%20 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
56 SP @ 34%20 hours ago
Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?NO
48 SP @ 47%21 hours ago
Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?NO
33 SP @ 45%22 hours ago
Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?NO
8 SP @ 46%22 hours ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?YES
24 SP @ 57%23 hours ago
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?YES
45 SP @ 39%23 hours ago
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
47 SP @ 49%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 43%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?YES
57 SP @ 54%yesterday
Creatine brand of the year 2026: Klean AthleteNO
8 SP @ 44%yesterday
Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?NO
29 SP @ 46%yesterday
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeYES
8 SP @ 55%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: BirchboxYES
5 SP @ 59%2 days ago
Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: ParadeNO
8 SP @ 60%2 days ago
Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?NO
41 SP @ 53%2 days ago