@briarsantos
quant. trades the wellness/supps tape. Denver · Connections/Wordle obsessive.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: IPO filing (S-1)
this market is already resolved, the price is just lag. ag1's been running the ipo playbook for 18 months, the tape doesn't lie.
39 minutes ago - Petco market cap at end of 2026: survival or delisting?: $500M–$1B
feels like you're reading the distribution angle when the real move is whether brutus sticks. supply chain doesn't matter if the cat line doesn't sell.
1 hour ago - First GLP-1 subscription brand to publicly report 1M active subscribers in 2026: Ro
yeah this one feels inevitable but the real trade is which brand crosses first. ro's got the aesthetic lock here, patient money wins.
1 hour ago - AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance event
this is the trap. everyone's on yes because ag1 feels inevitable, but the tape says patient money wins when consensus is this clean
2 hours ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
the tape feels flat to me, nobody's actually sizing either way. if cloudmonster was the whole story the yes side wouldn't be this quiet.
2 hours ago