@audencole
food scientist at food co, (pre-launch). Austin · Trekkie. Ten years on the food desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?
stabilizing and restructuring aren't opposites in retail, they're just different acts of the same play
4 minutes ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
founders always file when the story's still hot, not when the math works
13 minutes ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
wirecutter is the enterprise sales guy who shows up with a clipboard and tells you the margin math is fine
22 minutes ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
resale data on running shoes is just people admitting the shoe itself didn't earn the price tag, which is the part on's deck never mentions.
54 minutes ago - Which snack brand will have the biggest IPO of 2026?: Caulipower
snack brands talking about bootstrapping their way to profitability while skincare does it on a hundred bucks and actually ships. that's the gap nobody's pricing https://x.com/modernretail/status/2058873246372552968
3 hours ago