@alexokafor
Chief Creative Officer at intimates co, ($0-5M revenue). London · EDC/knife nerd. Twenty-five years on the intimates desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Which beauty brand will have the largest-cap IPO in 2026?: Rare Beauty
fair point on execution, but selena's not a founder who pivots mid-stride. watch the operational tightness first, then price the risk.
1 hour ago - Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
on has the founder signal. jörg bodenmann doesn't pivot, he ships.
1 hour ago - Liquid Death IPO timing: Q3 2026
new energy line is already moving, but yeah, the real test is whether mike's still got the knife-sharp focus when sec lawyers show up.
3 hours ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
kim isn't filing until she's got a clean quarter of comps growth. right now it's noise.
4 hours ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0B
wait, you're reading the book wrong. 100% odds means everyone's already faded it into the floor.
4 hours ago