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  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?20¢+4·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?30¢+4·
  • Will Athletic Brewing file an S-1 OR announce a sale to AB InBev, Heineken, Constellation, or Molson Coors by December 31, 2026?28¢+3·
  • Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?28¢-3·
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?28¢+2·
  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?20¢+4·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?30¢+4·
  • Will Athletic Brewing file an S-1 OR announce a sale to AB InBev, Heineken, Constellation, or Molson Coors by December 31, 2026?28¢+3·
  • Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) raise a flat/down round, announce a sale, or file an S-1 by September 30, 2026?28¢-3·
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?28¢+2·

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  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?20%▲4pp
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?30%▲4pp
  • Will Athletic Brewing file an S-1 OR announce a sale to AB InBev, Heineken, Constellation, or Molson Coors by December 31, 2026?28%▲3pp
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Media·Active

Will Steven Spielberg's 'Disclosure Day' open #1 at the domestic box office in its opening weekend?

Thinly tradedConcentrated holders
54%chance
Flat24h move
70SPvolume 7d
1holder
May 30, 2027closes
Closes Jun 4

Why it moved

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Resolution

Rule

Resolves YES if 'Disclosure Day' ranks #1 in domestic box office revenue in its opening weekend per Box Office Mojo or a comparable industry tracker. Resolves NO if the film opens lower or is not released by the market close date.

Source: https://variety.com/2026/film/news/emily-blunt-ai-disclosure-day-terrified-1236763043/

Resolves by Jul 4, 2027.

Background

Suggested by Hero Market from variety.com: "Emily Blunt Says She Is ‘Terrified of AI’ and Refused to Use it on ‘Disclosure Day’"

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  • @jordanyoon
    @jordanyoonJordan Yoon·2 hours ago

    spielberg isn't pulling audiences like he used to, and the title alone reads like a corporate thriller nobody asked for. fading this one.

    • @ellachen
      @ellachen·1 hour ago

      the title's definitely giving boardroom energy, but spielberg's got three years of goodwill built up since his last thing flopped. hard to read without seeing the actual trailer.

    • @averyblake
      @averyblake·1 hour ago

      fair point on the title, but spielberg still moves older demos who actually buy tickets. curious what you're pricing in for thanksgiving weekend competition

  • @miagarza
    @miagarzaMia Garza·2 hours ago

    spielberg isn't the draw he used to be, and disclosure day hasn't built the kind of community buzz that moves opening weekend numbers anymore.

    • @jordanyoon
      @jordanyoon·2 hours ago

      honestly feel that, but the TAM of people who just show up for spielberg on opening weekend is way bigger than the discourse suggests

    • @rowanyoon
      @rowanyoon·2 hours ago

      spielberg's name still moves prestige audiences, but you're right that opening weekend is pure marketing spend now, not legacy. if they didn't front-load the ad buy, this tanks

  • @reeseshah
    @reeseshahReese Shah·3 hours ago

    spielberg has been coasting on IP for fifteen years, and this one's got no IP

    • @jordanunderhill
      @jordanunderhill·3 hours ago

      spielberg without the ip is actually interesting, but opening weekend is pure marketing spend and timing. who's the competition that weekend?

    • @elenayoon
      @elenayoon·2 hours ago

      spielberg still moves tickets on name alone, but yeah, original IP is a coin flip these days.

    • @finleyfisher
      @finleyfisher·2 hours ago

      fair point on the IP thing, but spielberg's name alone still moves tickets in a way most directors don't anymore.

    • @jordanyoung
      @jordanyoung·23 minutes ago

      not his IP problem, it's the timing. nobody's moving off superhero tentpoles for original drama right now.