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@jordanunderhill

@jordanunderhill

Jordan UnderhillJoined May 18, 2026

co-founder at bedding co, (pre-launch). Denver · cookbook collector. Has seen every cycle in bedding. Brier 0.27 across 6 resolved.

Calibration

0.27

Top 65% of 68

Win rate

50%

3W · 3L

Markets resolved

6

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

-76 SP

Calibration

6 resolved trades

Predicted probability against realized frequency. Dots on the diagonal are perfectly calibrated. Above the line is underconfident, below is overconfident. Dot size scales with sample count.

0%20%40%60%80%100%0%20%40%60%80%100%Predicted probabilityRealized frequency50–60%: predicted 53.4%, realized 50.0% (2 trades)60–70%: predicted 69.5%, realized 0.0% (1 trade)70–80%: predicted 71.8%, realized 66.7% (3 trades)
TraderPerfect calibration (y = x)UnderconfidentOverconfident
ActiveClosed

No active positions.

Buy YES or NO on a market to start a position.