Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by December 31, 2026?

Resolution

Rule

This market resolves YES if Liquid Death Mountain Water, Inc. (or any successor entity) files a Form S-1 or Form S-1/A registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on or before December 31, 2026, as evidenced by a publicly accessible filing on SEC EDGAR. The filing must be a bona fide IPO registration statement — a confidential draft (Form DRS) does not qualify unless it is subsequently made public on EDGAR within the resolution window.

Source: SEC EDGAR full-text search (https://efts.sec.gov/LATEST/search-index?q=%22Liquid+Death%22&dateRange=custom&startdt=2026-01-01&enddt=2026-12-31&forms=S-1) — free, public, and unambiguous.

Resolves by Aug 8, 2026.

Background

Liquid Death has been publicly rumored to pursue an IPO since mid-2023, hired Goldman Sachs as an advisor, and investor materials from mid-2025 projected ~$340M in 2025 revenue and targeted EBITDA profitability — classic pre-IPO signaling. Despite those signals, no S-1 has been filed with the SEC as of May 27, 2026, making the timing of any public offering genuinely uncertain. The company remains private with secondary-market share prices around $7–$10, and a volatile IPO window adds further uncertainty to whether management pulls the trigger in 2026.