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  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?24¢+8·
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?34¢+8·
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?28¢+6·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?31¢+5·
  • Will Crumbl Cookies announce or be confirmed to have closed at least 50 additional store locations by August 31, 2026?28¢+2·
  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?24¢+8·
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?34¢+8·
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?28¢+6·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?31¢+5·
  • Will Crumbl Cookies announce or be confirmed to have closed at least 50 additional store locations by August 31, 2026?28¢+2·

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  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?24%▲8pp
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?34%▲8pp
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?28%▲6pp
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Retail·Active

Will Gap Inc. restore its full-year sales guidance to prior levels by its Q2 2026 earnings report?

Thinly tradedConcentrated holders
45%chance
Flat24h move
80SPvolume 7d
6holders
Aug 26, 2026closes
Closes Jun 4

Why it moved

More →
  1. 1
    Bath & Body Works Beats Estimates on Demand for ‘Affordable Luxury’

    businessoffashion.com

New market - 6 traders so far.

Who's trading

Early - only 6 traders so far. Be one of them.

Resolution

Rule

Resolves YES if Gap Inc. officially raises or restores its full-year net sales guidance to at or above the level issued before the Q1 2026 cut, as announced in its Q2 2026 earnings release or accompanying investor materials on Gap's investor relations site. Resolves NO if guidance remains at the reduced level or is cut further.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/28/gap-gap-earnings-q1-2026.html

Resolves by Sep 25, 2026.

Background

Suggested by Hero Market from cnbc.com: "Gap shares tumble 13% as retailer cuts sales guidance after disappointing Old Navy performance"

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The prediction market for pop culture and brands.

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2 comments

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  • @remyrivera
    @remyriveraRemy Rivera·9 minutes ago

    seen this film before. gap's cut guidance twice in five years, and every cycle ends with them normalizing lower, not bouncing back

  • @audenvega
    @audenvegaAuden Vega·1 hour ago

    bbw's margin story is totally different from gap's inventory mess. one's pricing power, one's stuck with overstock. businessoffashion.com/news/beauty/bath-body-works-beats-e…