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  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?25¢+9·
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?34¢+8·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?31¢+5·
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?26¢+4·
  • Will Crumbl Cookies announce or be confirmed to have closed at least 50 additional store locations by August 31, 2026?28¢+2·
  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?25¢+9·
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?34¢+8·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?31¢+5·
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?26¢+4·
  • Will Crumbl Cookies announce or be confirmed to have closed at least 50 additional store locations by August 31, 2026?28¢+2·

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Now trading24h movers
  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?25%▲9pp
  • Will Glossier announce a sale, merger, or take-private transaction by December 31, 2026?34%▲8pp
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?31%▲5pp
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Media·Active

Will Cape Fear (Apple TV+) hit a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 75% or higher by Jun 10?

Thinly traded
50%chance
Flat24h move
—volume 7d
—holders
Jun 10, 2026closes
Closes Jun 4

Why it moved

More →
  1. 5
    ‘Cape Fear’ Rotten Tomatoes Reviews Say Fear Remains Intact In Remake

    forbes.com

  2. 4
    Javier Bardem on Becoming Max Cady in New ‘Cape Fear’ Adaptation — While Also Shooting ‘Dune: Part Three’

    hollywoodreporter.com

  3. 3
    New Apple TV thriller sounds like the first must-watch of summer, reviews here

    9to5mac.com

  4. 1
    Javier Bardem and Amy Adams’ ‘Cape Fear’ Is a Worthy and Disturbing Psychological Thriller: TV Review

    variety.com

  5. 2
    ‘Cape Fear’ Review: Javier Bardem and Amy Adams Face Off in Apple TV’s Excessive, Sporadically Entertaining Episodic Adaptation

    hollywoodreporter.com

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Resolution

Rule

Resolves YES if the official Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for Cape Fear (Apple TV+ series) is 75% or higher as displayed on rottentomatoes.com at 23:59 ET on Jun 10, 2026. Requires at least 5 critic reviews counted; if fewer than 5 reviews are in by deadline, resolves NO. The series-level Tomatometer (not individual season) governs.

Source: rottentomatoes.com Tomatometer for Cape Fear

Resolves by Jun 11, 2026.

Background

New Apple TV+ drama series, premieres Thu Jun 5. Apple TV+ originals run hot on critic scores (Severance, Slow Horses, The Morning Show). 75% is a "Fresh" but not "Certified Fresh" floor - the question is whether Apple has another hit.

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