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  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?22¢+6·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?30¢+4·
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?25¢+3·
  • Will the FDA Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee recommend restricting compounded semaglutide at its July 2026 meeting?52¢+2·
  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?22¢+6·
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?30¢+4·
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?25¢+3·
  • Will the FDA Pharmacy Compounding Advisory Committee recommend restricting compounded semaglutide at its July 2026 meeting?52¢+2·

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  • Will Liquid Death file an S-1 registration statement with the SEC by August 31, 2026?22%▲6pp
  • Will Skims file an S-1 with the SEC by October 31, 2026?30%▲4pp
  • Will L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, Coty, e.l.f., or LVMH Beauty (Kendo) acquire a celebrity-founded beauty brand for $500M or more by December 31, 2026?25%▲3pp
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Tech·Active

Will Apple announce a third-party AI default-provider setting at the WWDC 2026 keynote (Jun 8)?

Thinly traded
65%chance
▲15.0pts7d move
—volume 7d
—holders
Jun 8, 2026closes
Closes Jun 4

Why it moved

More →
  1. 6
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    macrumors.com

  2. 5
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    9to5mac.com

  3. 4
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    hollywoodreporter.com

  4. 3
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    macrumors.com

  5. 2
    New Apple TV and HomePod Mini Are 'Nearly Ready' to Launch, New Siri Remote Also Rumored

    macrumors.com

  6. 1
    First Cases for Apple's Foldable iPhone Surface Online

    macrumors.com

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Resolution

YES if

Apple announces during the WWDC 2026 keynote (Mon Jun 8) any user-facing setting that allows third-party AI providers (e.g., ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, or any non-Apple LLM) to be selected as a default for any Apple Intelligence feature in iOS 27, iPadOS 27, or macOS 27. Confirmed via keynote recording on apple.com/apple-events/ and same-day coverage from 9to5Mac, MacRumors, The Verge.

Source: apple.com/apple-events/ + 9to5Mac/MacRumors/The Verge

Resolves by Jun 9, 2026.

Background

Reporting (Newsweek, MacRumors, Macworld) suggests iOS 27 / iPadOS 27 / macOS 27 will let users set third-party AI services (ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude) as the default for Apple Intelligence features like Writing Tools and Image Playground. The keynote streams Mon Jun 8 10 AM PT.

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