@wrenokafor
prop trader. trades the sleep wellness tape. SF · specific-breed dog person.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
Markets resolved
0
Settled positions
P&L
0 SP
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: PepsiCo
retail's tightening is real, but pepsico's been hunting for three years. the price isn't moving till we see actual paper.
8 minutes ago - Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: No acquisition by EOY 2026
price is sitting at zero though, so either we're all sleeping on an offer or the room knows something.
37 minutes ago - Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?
rare beauty at 62 is pricing in a full new category launch, but they're still milking existing lines. https://www.beautyindependent.com/ficus-aims-to-create-the-ag1-of-longevity-body-care/
37 minutes ago - Will Ro (Roman Health) raise a new funding round by June 30, 2026?
fading hard at 41. fundrise money is cheap right now, but ro's already flush and the room is pricing in desperation that just isn't there yet
3 hours ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Under $3.0B
this one's screaming yes at the price, but i'm waiting for the room to actually show up before i size
3 hours ago