@todd

Todd HassenfeltJoined May 30, 2026Invited by @tom

Calibration

Brier · lower is better

Win rate

No decided markets yet

Markets resolved

Settled positions

P&L

1D1W1MYTDALL

0 SP

Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.

Calibration

0 / 5 resolved trades

Need 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.

Active Closed

MarketSideAvgCurrentValueP&L

Will Oura announce a new product or major feature by June 30, 2026?
YES
113.6 shares
avg 53%now 56%63 SP+3 SP
YES
53%
56%
63 SP
+3 SP(+5%)
Will General Mills acquire a DTC food brand by June 30, 2026?
YES
95.5 shares
avg 52%now 55%52 SP+2 SP
YES
52%
55%
52 SP
+2 SP(+5%)
Will Google AI Ultra subscription reach 1 million paid subscribers by end of 2026?
NO
48.8 shares
avg 51%now 52%26 SP+1 SP
NO
51%
52%
26 SP
+1 SP(+2%)