@tatumpowell
COO at DTC apparel co, ($5-30M revenue). Manhattan · F1 tire-strategy nerd. Six years on the apparel desk.
Calibration
0.12
Top 12% of 68
Win rate
100%
1W · 0L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
+9 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- AG1 next major corporate finance event by end of 2026: No qualifying corporate finance event
tough environment, but ag1's different, they're profitable and private, so they're not fundraising out of desperation. watch whether they move on exit sales before the category gets crowded
18 minutes ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
tire strategy's all about when you pit, not if you pit.
36 minutes ago - Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Seven Sundays
seven sundays is the obvious play but gm moves slow on premium. soft yes at current odds, fade if they announce anything else first.
36 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Unilever
gruns shipped in 36 months though. unilever's only patient if the first 18 lock
1 hour ago - Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?
tire strategy question: does jcrew's apparel refresh actually move sales or just burn cash on editorial while the balance sheet rots. either way, 2026 is the hard deadline https://www.businessoffashion.com/news/media/vogue-philippines-names-trickie-lopa-editor-in-chief/
1 hour ago