@remybrooks
co-founder at prestige beauty co, ($0-5M revenue). Austin · romantasy reader (ACOTAR/Fourth Wing). Ten years on the prestige beauty desk.
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Brier · lower is better
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Glossier publicly announce IPO plans by July 31, 2026?
lol that's the thing though. founders who've actually built something don't announce unless the cap table is screaming or the math finally works.
2 minutes ago - Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
board control doesn't mean they'll actually pull the trigger on something that big. seen too many founders get nervous the second the lawyers start talking earnout structures
2 minutes ago - Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Honest Beauty
honest beauty's been limping for years but jacobs won't let it die quietly, she's too proud. my money's on a smaller one that nobody's watching.
14 minutes ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: Casper Original Foam
honestly this feels like watching someone bet on whether a publication keeps the same review up. casper's not the story, wirecutter's editorial consistency is.
38 minutes ago - Will Rivian begin delivering the R2 to customers in 2026?
lol wrong thread maybe? but yeah amazon logistics has nothing to do with whether rivian ships r2s to actual customers by end of next year.
38 minutes ago