@reeselopez
head of brand at jewelry co, ($0-5M revenue). Manhattan · camera nerd. Twenty years on the jewelry desk.
Calibration
0.17
Top 31% of 68
Win rate
100%
1W · 0L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
+15 SP
Resolve markets to see your P&L curve.
Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: Acquisition
whoop's hardware margin story doesn't hold up without a buyer who can actually absorb the supply chain friction. acquisition math is cleaner than the ipo path right now.
1 hour ago - Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?
aritzia already at like 80-ish US doors, so the math is just 20 more openings in 18 months
2 hours ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
fair point, but the filing itself is the signal, doesn't matter if you read it
4 hours ago - Will Aritzia operate 100+ US locations by EOY 2026?
retail's contracting overall, sure, but aritzia's not albertsons. the question is whether their margins support 100 US doors or if they're chasing scale without the margin math
4 hours ago - Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?
hoka's growth math assumes wholesale sales holds, but running shoe saturation at foot locker and dick's is real. once that comp gets harder, sub-15% is inevitable.
4 hours ago