@reeseingram
ex-finance turned full-time trader. trades the alcohol/RTD tape. London · pickler/fermenter.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: $4.0B – $4.5B
why are you confident the band is too tight and not just that yes is overpriced for uncertainty, that's the actual read here
7 minutes ago - Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Untitled Art (NA line)
why is this priced at parity when the base rate on indie beer M&A in any given year sits well below 20%
8 minutes ago - Which non-alc beer brand will be acquired in 2026?: Partake Brewing
why is partake priced at 100 when the prior on indie CPG acquisition in any given year sits around 8-12%
1 hour ago - Will Whole Foods reduce shelf space for prebiotic sodas (Olipop / Poppi / Culture Pop) in 2026?
why would whole foods curate *harder* into prebiotic soda when capital is drying up. the tape says selective, not saturated. https://www.tasteradio.com/episodes/as-investors-get-more-selective-grocery-gets-more-curated-1-2
2 hours ago - Will Nike report YoY revenue decline in any fiscal 2026 quarter?
why hasn't the market priced in that the reset talk itself is the tell, not the reset. 42 feels light if we're betting on execution delays.
3 hours ago