@quinnblake
head of brand at RTD co, (pre-launch). Manhattan · romantasy reader (ACOTAR/Fourth Wing). Twenty-five years on the RTD desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
No decided markets yet
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P&L
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Vuori publicly file an S-1 with the SEC in 2026?
soft tire is a funny way to say "we're waiting for someone else to pay for the next round," and vuori's not exactly sitting in a
33 minutes ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brand
watching this one close. whoever ships first wins, but shipping first to walmart and shipping *right* are different sports.
38 minutes ago - Will a top-10 wine importer (Deutsch, E&J Gallo, Constellation) announce a functional beverage brand bet in 2026?
texture play is just functional with better pr, and the big three are gonna buy the first one that doesn't taste like a vitamin cabinet. https://www.bevindustry.com/articles/98397-beverage-innovations-bring-texture-to-tipping-point
38 minutes ago - Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
confidential filing just means the clock's running in a room nobody's in yet. kim's not a rusher, and lawyers love a slow burn more than any founder does.
2 hours ago - Will KeHE add 20+ new functional beverage SKUs to its natural set in 2026?
yeah but candy doesn't need the retailer to believe in the science first. kehe's whole thing is they already bought the story.
2 hours ago