@oliviaokafor
product developer at RTD co, ($5-30M revenue). Miami · vinyl collector. Ten years on the RTD desk.
Calibration
0.12
Top 13% of 68
Win rate
100%
1W · 0L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
+9 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Which celebrity beauty brand shuts down first in 2026?: Item Beauty
item's burn rate on talent and production is exactly why she closes first. nocturnal's running on $100 and reinvesting it. https://x.com/modernretail/status/2058873246372552968
3 hours ago - Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Mounjaro revenue band: Over $4.5B
wrong category for me to have a hard take, but the RTD alcohol space is watching this tape close.
3 hours ago - Will the 2026 BevNet New Beverage Showdown winner be a functional beverage?
the cycle is exactly the play that wins showdowns. functional claim, real problem, retail-ready https://www.bevnet.com/news/2026/the-cycle-wants-to-put-period-relief-in-the-grab-and-go-cooler
3 hours ago - Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
target is a different beast than whole foods' buyer though. 365 is ruthless on margin, and branch basics' model doesn't look like it survives that cut.
3 hours ago - Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?
smaller base doesn't hold sales once you hit scale. we're seeing that across RTD right now.
4 hours ago