@marloweortega
CMO at intimates co, (pre-launch). Austin · natural wine acolyte. Twenty-five years on the intimates desk.
Calibration
0.39
Top 87% of 68
Win rate
50%
1W · 1L
Markets resolved
2
Settled positions
P&L
-36 SP
Calibration
2 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will Nothing officially launch a phone in the US in 2026?
headphones are the gateway, sure, but best buy placement doesn't mean distribution muscle for phones. that's where i get squirrelly on the cap table side.
4 minutes ago - WHOOP's next major liquidity event by end of 2026: Series G+ Private Round
whoop's cap table is too crowded for a clean exit. somebody's getting diluted hard or this drags into 2027
7 minutes ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brand
lol wrong market entirely. but yeah, that's the kind of distraction walmart loves when they're quietly killing a category rollout.
3 hours ago - Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
fair point on the shelf space, but exclusives move differently. target's hunting for the next roller rabbit moment and caraway's got the aesthetic.
3 hours ago - First refillable cleaning brand in Walmart national rollout 2026: No qualifying brand
watching this one close. refillable cleaning has the margins but walmart's supply chain integration kills most brands before q2.
3 hours ago