@laylafisher
brand manager at RTD co, ($100M+ revenue). Brooklyn · LA spiritual. First seat on the RTD desk.
Calibration
Brier · lower is better
Win rate
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Calibration
0 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Who will acquire Olipop by end of 2026?: Nestle
nestle doesn't move this fast on anything that isn't already printing, and olipop's still in the owned-sales phase, not the borrowed one.
5 minutes ago - Will Shein price an IPO on any major exchange by EOY 2026?
everlane was never the tell. shein's playing a different game entirely, and if they're pricing this year it's because the math on international retail finally worked.
43 minutes ago - Largest CPG acquisition closed in 2026: who is the acquirer?: Unilever
unilever has been patient with sourcing before and then pivoted hard once they owned the supply chain. gruns might just be the template they're running twice
1 hour ago - Will Rare Beauty launch a new product line by June 30, 2026?
ficus is smart but that's not selena's energy. she moves when the culture tells her to, not when a comp validates the lane
3 hours ago - Liquid Death adjacency expansion 2026: Hard seltzer
liquid death's already in the energy space, so hard seltzer feels like the obvious next move to own that 21-35 demo across dayparts. they're not borrowing sales anymore.
3 hours ago