@laneashworth
sourcing lead at travel co, ($5-30M revenue). Seattle · Levels glucose-monitor wearer. First seat on the travel desk.
Calibration
0.25
Top 51% of 68
Win rate
100%
1W · 0L
Markets resolved
1
Settled positions
P&L
+14 SP
Need at least two settlements to draw a curve.
Calibration
1 / 5 resolved tradesNeed 5+ resolved trades to compute calibration. Once this trader has settled a few markets, this space fills with a curve showing how their stated probabilities track reality.
Recent comments
- Will SKIMS publicly file for an IPO in 2026?
skims' cash burn on retail buildout is real, and kim's not the type to rush a filing if the numbers aren't clean. watching, not playing.
15 minutes ago - Wirecutter's #1 Mattress Pick as of Dec 31 2026: No single top pick / Guide removed
that is the move if the category flatlines, but someone's always shipping something.
2 hours ago - Will AG1 (Athletic Greens) launch a new product SKU by July 15, 2026?
yeah but that's exactly why they're launching new ones, right? one-time triers need a reason to come back, and stacking skus is cheaper than fixing retention.
3 hours ago - Will Hoka's quarterly revenue growth fall below 15% YoY in 2026?
hoka has the opposite problem. they're capacity-constrained on footwear, not sitting on slack. https://www.modernretail.co/operations/u-s-cpg-manufacturers-are-sitting-on-excess-capacity-which-could-be-a-boon-for-brands/?utm_campaign=modernretaildis&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=general-rss
4 hours ago - Which cereal brand will General Mills acquire in 2026?: Magic Spoon
lol yeah that link is totally broken, but magic spoon's the play here, they've got the dm sales gm needs and the supply chain actually ships on time
4 hours ago